Bayern Munich, which has won 10 straight league titles, will host Europa League champion Eintracht Frankfurt on Friday to kick off the Bundesliga season.
With 0 victories in their final eight games, the hosts struggled to a league title as they focused on their bid for Europa League glory.
Frankfurt will once again be in the Champions League and the Bundesliga, but an 11th-place finish in the German top division was much better than the underlying statistics predicted. Although the team made some intriguing additions, the domestic campaign may once again be challenging.
Bayern, on the other hand, wasn’t nearly as dominant in the second half as it had been in the first, but the German team still easily cruised to another championship. Now that Robert Lewandowski is absent, the Bavarians are looking to former Liverpool forward Sadio Mané to replace the majority of his output.
Determining how to adjust Bayern’s ranking after replacing Lewandowski with Mané is one of the most crucial problems in Europe. He was a talented striker who for many years ruled Germany, on the other hand. On the other hand, at this point in his career, he didn’t do much else to provide value besides passing and pressuring.
In Germany last year, Lewandowski averaged 1.17 xG + xA per 90. In the Premier League, Mané averaged 0.67 points every 90 minutes. Based on historical statistics, apply a 17 percent inflation factor for him moving to the EPL, and you’ll get 0.8 per 90 minutes. That is a decrease in output, but can Bayern make up for it by having Serge Gnabry and Leroy Sané produce more?
I believe that the Bavarians can get rather close. Based on odds for winning the league, the market has slightly lowered Bayern. In situations where the league is having trouble as a whole, I’m not decreasing my expectations at all.
The Frankfurt Eintracht
The 30-year-old forward Mario Gotze, who previously played for PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands, is the more notable of Frankfurt’s two notable summer additions. Additionally, Bayer Leverkusen’s Lucas Alario was added to Oliver Glasner’s team.
The fact that Frankfurt appears to be able to retain Filip Kostic, a wing back who frequently initiates attacks with crosses and lucky breaks, is maybe of utmost importance.
The 4-0 thrashing of DFB-Pokal minnow Magdeburg by the Europa League champions was impressive, but I’m not entirely convinced. Its fundamental statistics in the Bundesliga were unimpressive even before Europa play took precedence.