Two of the top teams in the National League Braves vs Mets will play each other in a doubleheader on Saturday, so baseball fans are in for a treat.
The New York Mets (67-39) have won eight out of their previous ten games and are on fire. They suffered one of those defeats in Game 1 of this series on Thursday, but they swiftly turned things around with a victory on Friday.
In the NL East rankings, the Atlanta Braves (64-43) are down by 3.5 games and are attempting to catch up.
In Game 2 of Saturday’s doubleheader, Max Fried and Max Scherzer will duel in the circle.
Check out our MLB choices and forecasts for the Saturday, August 6 game between the Braves and the Mets.
Baseball fans should be anticipating the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader between the Braves and the Mets.
This game not only has two of the best clubs in the NL, but it also features an outstanding pitching duel between Max Friend and Max Scherzer.
Despite Scherzer’s name-power, neither team has a significant pitching edge, which may seem absurd. However, statistically speaking, it is true. Fried may not be as well-known as his pitching opponent, but he belongs to the same elite pitcher class and boasts a lower xERA (2.83 to 3.15).
Next, let’s examine hitting. Over the past 15 days, the Mets have been on fire, coming in second in wOBA and first in wRC+. Although the Braves also have a strong lineup, they fall short of the Mets in that sample size (11th in wOBA, 12th in wRC+).
Despite the Mets’ excellent lineup, they struggle against left-handed pitchers. They have a wOBA versus southpaws of 14 and a wRC+ of 12 this season. Given that they rank fourth in both wOBA and wRC+ over the past 15 days, those metrics appear to have improved significantly in recent days.
I’m not too worried about how the Mets stack up against southpaws as I would just be looking at the season-long stats, but they have won six of their previous seven games versus left-handed starting pitchers.
The Mets are 5-2 in their past seven games versus the Braves and 9-3 in their last 12 second games of a doubleheader. Both of those trends will probably persist.
Braves vs Mets game info
Let’s start by discussing how good each starting pitcher is.
Since the baseball community is well aware that Scherzer is among the elite, he no longer needs an introduction. His outstanding strikeout percentage (31.4 percent) and walk rate (4.9 percent) are both in line with his career figures, meaning his stats haven’t declined in any way in his age-38 season. His xERA is typically less than 3.00, however this year it is 3.15. His FIP is 2.64, so you shouldn’t be alarmed.
Fried is exceptional everywhere else despite not whiffing as many batters (23.1 percent strikeout rate). His 2.58 actual ERA is not an anomaly, as evidenced by his 2.83 xERA and 2.47 FIP. His 2.5 percent barrel rate is probably the most astounding aspect of his entire profile; it ranks second among MLB starters who are qualified. He is excellent at avoiding strong contact, and his current walk rate (4.5 percent) is the lowest of his career.
Despite not playing Mad Max at home, the Braves have been leaning toward the Over. The Mets, on the other hand, have lost 43-21-5 of their last 69 games in a doubleheader.